Doug Stephens, “The Retail Prophet” and internationally recognized consumer futurist, started his keynote presentation at High Point Market on Sunday by depressing his audience with the statistic that 8,643 retail stores closed in 2018, and 10,000 more are projected to fail in 2019.
His news got worse.
In 2017, consumers spent $2.3 trillion online, with e-commerce enjoying a 21% year-on-year increase. Stephens assured us there was no way to slow down that trajectory.
Pivoting to the Amazon success story, he shared how Amazon Prime’s membership went up 47% over the last reported quarter, and has a 96% renewal rate for second- and third-year members. That is a crazy level of loyalty “stickiness”! Plus, 82% of those Prime members are in households that earn more than $110,000 per year.
When he told us he predicted we were experiencing “the end of the beginning of e-commerce,” the groans got louder. He said Amazon’s website was like a chainsaw. “It’s not pretty or fun to use, but it is effective at what it does.”
According to Stephens, 57% of the people who go to Amazon know what they want. It’s not exciting, and it’s not interactive or social. There’s no wine and cheese party while you’re buying, but that’s not the point.
And it doesn’t matter, because significant changes are coming.
Technologies like augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), and those that provide a tactile sensation; automatic replenishing of products used often like water filters or laundry detergent; and 3-D printers that can create prototypes in real time are all part of our very near future, according to Stephens.
After he scared us with all these science fiction concepts, he divined the question on everyone’s minds: “What is the purpose of a brick and mortar store in this new world order?”
Today, it’s merchandising products, delivering product information, and facilitating a purchase. Want to survive and thrive? Forget that plan. A physical store is not just a place to sell a product, it is a place to distribute an experience. The days of sales clerks are over.
Half of consumers think they know more than the retail sales staff because they have researched online, and 67% think clerks lie to them.
According to an Oxford University study, 92% of retail sales staff will be replaced by AI and robotics within the decade.
Finally, before we’d all lost faith in the future, Stephens shared his solution for keeping furniture stores open in the face of technological Armageddon. Change your focus to the five elements of remarkable customer experience, which he summed up with the acronym SUPER.
For those retailers who shook their heads in frustration, Stephens offered these simple suggestions: